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September 4, 2025FINANCIAL NEWS SEPTEMBER 5, 2025
September 5, 2025
- Growth: The global economy is expected to continue its path of slow but steady growth.
- Trade: Heightened global trade tensions and protectionist policies are significant headwinds.
- Inflation: While global inflation is generally expected to decline, core inflation is falling more slowly and is complicated by tariffs.
- Emerging markets: Many emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) face a challenging outlook due to trade barriers, fiscal pressures, and debt costs.
Key national and regional developments
- United States: The U.S. economy saw a bounce back in Q2 2025, with real GDP increasing at an annual rate of 3.3% after a 0.5% decrease in Q1. The S&P 500 recovered from a sharp market sell-off in early Q2 triggered by renewed trade tensions, reaching new highs by the end of the quarter. Despite the rally, policy shifts related to tariffs and budget cuts have led to a cloudy outlook for the second half of 2025.
- Europe: Foreign equities, particularly in Europe, have outperformed their U.S. counterparts in 2025, partly due to a weakening U.S. dollar. Germany, Europe’s largest economy, is implementing fiscal stimulus that could support long-term growth.
- Asia: China’s growth is expected to moderate in 2025, though the country remains a global manufacturing hub. In Japan, valuations remain compelling, and reforms to encourage household investment in equities could meaningfully re-rate markets.
- Latin America and the Caribbean: This region is projected to experience slow and steady growth, impacted by trade uncertainty and ongoing structural weaknesses.
- Sub-Saharan Africa: The region’s growth is expected to be weaker than previously anticipated due to a deteriorating external environment and domestic headwinds like high government debt.
Investment trends
- Volatility and resilience: Markets demonstrated significant volatility and resilience in Q2, with stocks recovering strongly after an initial shock related to tariffs.
- Artificial intelligence (AI): Massive investments in AI infrastructure by technology companies are providing a significant economic stimulus. These investments are helping tech giants and other businesses improve efficiency and bottom lines.
- International stocks: Non-U.S. equities have significantly outperformed U.S. stocks year-to-date, offering diversification benefits and more reasonable valuations.
- Fixed income: Bond markets are providing higher levels of income than before the 2008 global financial crisis, though they have also experienced heightened volatility.
- Private markets: Private credit remains attractive, and private equity exit activity has gained momentum, driven by higher public market valuations.
- Billionaire Airbnb Co-Founder Reveals Why He Abandoned Democrat Party For Trump
- Billionaire Airbnb Joe Gebbia has opened up about his decision to abandon the Democrat Party and join with the Trump administration, pointing to the immigration crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border under then-President Joe Biden as the primary reason.
- In an interview on “The Katie Miller Podcast,” Gebbia recounted how his concerns about border security in 2021 led him to seek answers on the issue from figures from the first Trump White House.
- Dissatisfied with responses from Democrat contacts, he reached out to Jared Kushner, former senior adviser and son-in-law to President Donald Trump, for more answers. “I remember just being like, ‘Holy cow, this is crazy,’” Gebbia told Miller, wife of White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller. “Like, ‘This is not right, this is a real problem and there’s no reason why we shouldn’t be enforcing the laws of our country and our border.’”
- The answers that Gebbia got ultimately led him to reassess his entire political outlook.
- “I sort of begin to look at other topics and eventually came to the point where I don’t think I can support a political party that wants to have an open border, that lets in criminals and dangerous people into our country,” the tech billionaire said. “That’s just not something I can get behind.”
- Gebbia also explained how his relationship with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., now Secretary of Health and Human Services, played a significant role in his decision to support Trump. “I’ve been on my journey. Everyone’s been on a journey,” Gebbia said.. “I think through, certainly Bobby Kennedy and supporting him, and I’ve been so grateful for the work that he’s doing, to be somebody who just cares so much about the health of our nation, and you know, has no ties to industry and is really just able to bust through walls and right-size the ship.”
- Gebbia’s embrace of Trump led to a role in the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), previously led by Elon Musk, and has since been appointed as the first Chief Design Officer for the U.S. government, tasked with overhauling federal digital services to enhance usability and efficiency.
- Reflecting on his time at DOGE, Gebbia acknowledged the polarized public response, admitting that “It was just depressing for some period of time.”
- “If you go back to February, when I got involved, there were a lot of people who were neutral, a lot of people who were positive, and then an equal amount of people who were just hateful,” he said. “The hate mail text messages that I got were disheartening to say the least.”
